Columbus Crew vs DC United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Columbus Crew the pick at 60% for Columbus Crew vs DC United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Columbus Crew face DC United on 31 October 2026 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus. Columbus Crew are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 33 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Columbus Crew - DC United. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Columbus Crew: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 24 conceded in 22 matches, 1.5 and 1.09 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +3.
DC United: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 23 conceded in 18 matches, 1.11 and 1.28 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.5 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -18.
Side by side
| Statistic | Columbus Crew | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -18 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | LLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 3 | 5 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.09 | 1.11 / 1.28 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.8 | 30.5 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 16% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 5 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): Columbus Crew five wins, DC United one win, one draw — an edge to Columbus Crew.
- Most recent meeting: DC United 2-1 Columbus Crew on 09 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.29 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the seven — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Columbus Crew 65.8 versus DC United 30.5, a gap of 35.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Columbus Crew's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Columbus Crew at 60%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. Columbus Crew's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Columbus Crew's way, especially at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Columbus Crew or DC United?
Columbus Crew, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Columbus Crew, 24% the draw and 16% DC United.
When and where is Columbus Crew vs DC United being played?
31 October 2026 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Columbus Crew and DC United?
DC United 2-1 Columbus Crew on 09 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Columbus Crew and DC United?
Columbus Crew have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), DC United 3 from theirs (LLLLW). Most recently Columbus Crew took a 2-0 win away at FC Dallas and DC United a 1-2 defeat away at Toronto FC.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs DC United?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Columbus Crew and 1.00 for DC United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Columbus Crew and eight for DC United at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.