Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin match summary and prediction — Major League Soccer
Our model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the pick at 50% for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Los Angeles Galaxy host Austin on 31 October 2026 at Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles. Los Angeles Galaxy are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 33 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Los Angeles Galaxy: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 40 conceded in 25 matches, 1.16 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.4 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -9.
Austin: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 40 conceded in 23 matches, 1.22 and 1.74 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -18.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Los Angeles Galaxy | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -18 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLW | LWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 12 | 6 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.16 / 1.6 | 1.22 / 1.74 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.4 | 30.5 |
| Players unavailable | 12 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 26% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 3 | 3 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): Los Angeles Galaxy three wins, Austin three wins, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Austin 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy on 11 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.86 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the seven — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Los Angeles Galaxy 49.4 versus Austin 30.5, a gap of 18.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Los Angeles Galaxy carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to six.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Los Angeles Galaxy's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to Los Angeles Galaxy at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Los Angeles Galaxy's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Los Angeles Galaxy's way, especially at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Los Angeles Galaxy or Austin?
Los Angeles Galaxy, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Los Angeles Galaxy, 23% the draw and 26% Austin.
When and where is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin being played?
31 October 2026 at Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin?
Austin 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy on 11 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin?
Los Angeles Galaxy have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWLW), Austin 3 from theirs (LWLLL). Most recently Los Angeles Galaxy took a 2-2 draw away at Los Angeles FC and Austin a 1-2 defeat at home to Real Salt Lake.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.40 for Austin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists twelve players unavailable for Los Angeles Galaxy and six for Austin at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.