Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Colorado Rapids host Chicago Fire on 1 November 2026 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City. Chicago Fire are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 33 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Colorado Rapids - Chicago Fire. Kick-off is 01:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Colorado Rapids: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 30 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Chicago Fire: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (44 scored and 30 conceded in 23 matches, 1.91 and 1.3 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.6 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Colorado Rapids | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +1 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDDD | DWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 8 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.35 / 1.3 | 1.91 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.22 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 50.6 |
| Players unavailable | 14 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 37% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Colorado Rapids 48.6 versus Chicago Fire 50.6, a gap of 2.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Colorado Rapids carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Chicago Fire's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Chicago Fire is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Colorado Rapids or Chicago Fire?
Chicago Fire, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 35% Colorado Rapids, 27% the draw and 37% Chicago Fire.
When and where is Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire being played?
1 November 2026 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City, kick-off 01:30 UTC.
Have Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire?
Colorado Rapids have taken 7 points from their last five (DWDDD), Chicago Fire 7 from theirs (DWLLW). Most recently Colorado Rapids took a 2-2 draw away at San Jose Earthquakes and Chicago Fire a 2-2 draw at home to Orlando City SC.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.00 for Colorado Rapids and 2.20 for Chicago Fire. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 14 players unavailable for Colorado Rapids and four for Chicago Fire at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.