Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FC Dallas the pick at 49% for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Dallas travel to Sporting Kansas City on 31 October 2026 at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City. FC Dallas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 33 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sporting Kansas City: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 54 conceded in 21 matches, 1.14 and 2.57 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 17.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -42.
FC Dallas: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 33 conceded in 24 matches, 1.71 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sporting Kansas City | FC Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -42 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | LWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 15 | 8 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 2.57 | 1.71 / 1.38 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.67 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 17.8 | 50.6 |
| Players unavailable | 14 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 49% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 2 | 5 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): Sporting Kansas City two wins, FC Dallas five wins, none draws — an edge to FC Dallas.
- Most recent meeting: FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City on 06 September 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.29 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Sporting Kansas City 17.8 versus FC Dallas 50.6, a gap of 32.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Sporting Kansas City carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to eight.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans FC Dallas' way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to FC Dallas at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. FC Dallas' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sporting Kansas City or FC Dallas?
FC Dallas, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 27% Sporting Kansas City, 24% the draw and 49% FC Dallas.
When and where is Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas being played?
31 October 2026 at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas?
FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City on 06 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas?
Sporting Kansas City have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), FC Dallas 7 from theirs (LWDWL). Most recently Sporting Kansas City took a 1-3 defeat away at Minnesota United FC and FC Dallas a 0-2 defeat at home to Columbus Crew.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.80 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.80 for FC Dallas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 14 players unavailable for Sporting Kansas City and eight for FC Dallas at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.