New England Revolution vs Inter Miami: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Inter Miami the pick at 44% for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Inter Miami travel to New England Revolution on 2 November 2026 at Boston Stadium, Boston. Inter Miami are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 33 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as New England Revolution - Inter Miami. Kick-off is 00:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
New England Revolution: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 23 conceded in 21 matches, 1.33 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +10.
Inter Miami: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (50 scored and 40 conceded in 25 matches, 2.0 and 1.6 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.3 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +20.
Side by side
| Statistic | New England Revolution | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +10 | +20 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | DLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 11 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.1 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.52 | 1.68 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.5 | 63.3 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 44% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 2 | 4 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): New England Revolution two wins, Inter Miami four wins, one draw — an edge to Inter Miami.
- Most recent meeting: Inter Miami 0-1 New England Revolution on 25 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.43 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the seven — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: New England Revolution 67.5 versus Inter Miami 63.3, a gap of 4.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Inter Miami's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Inter Miami at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: New England Revolution or Inter Miami?
Inter Miami, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 29% New England Revolution, 27% the draw and 44% Inter Miami.
When and where is New England Revolution vs Inter Miami being played?
2 November 2026 at Boston Stadium, Boston, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between New England Revolution and Inter Miami?
Inter Miami 0-1 New England Revolution on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of New England Revolution and Inter Miami?
New England Revolution have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Inter Miami 10 from theirs (DLWWW). Most recently New England Revolution took a 3-2 win at home to New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami a 2-2 draw at home to FC Cincinnati.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for New England Revolution and 1.40 for Inter Miami. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for New England Revolution and six for Inter Miami at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.