Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Portland Timbers the pick at 52% for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Houston Dynamo travel to Portland Timbers on 2 November 2026 at Providence Park, Portland. Portland Timbers are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 33 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo. Kick-off is 02:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Portland Timbers: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (47 scored and 46 conceded in 24 matches, 1.96 and 1.92 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Houston Dynamo: they come in on the back of a win, following four draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 24 conceded in 21 matches, 1.33 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDLD | WDDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 9 | 8 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.96 / 1.92 | 1.33 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.38 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.9 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 14 | 10 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 21% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 1 | 5 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): Portland Timbers one win, Houston Dynamo five wins, one draw — an edge to Houston Dynamo.
- Most recent meeting: Houston Dynamo 3-2 Portland Timbers on 15 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.43 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in four of the seven — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Portland Timbers 50.9 versus Houston Dynamo 49.1, a gap of 1.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Portland Timbers carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to ten.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Portland Timbers' way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to Portland Timbers at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Portland Timbers's way, especially at Providence Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo?
Portland Timbers, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Portland Timbers, 26% the draw and 21% Houston Dynamo.
When and where is Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo being played?
2 November 2026 at Providence Park, Portland, kick-off 02:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo?
Houston Dynamo 3-2 Portland Timbers on 15 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo?
Portland Timbers have taken 8 points from their last five (WWDLD), Houston Dynamo 7 from theirs (WDDDD). Most recently Portland Timbers took a 3-2 win away at St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo a 1-0 win away at Seattle Sounders.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Portland Timbers and 1.00 for Houston Dynamo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 14 players unavailable for Portland Timbers and ten for Houston Dynamo at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.