Inter Miami vs Charlotte: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Inter Miami the pick at 59% for Inter Miami vs Charlotte. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Inter Miami face Charlotte on 7 November 2026 at Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale. Inter Miami are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 34 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Inter Miami - Charlotte. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Inter Miami: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (52 scored and 41 conceded in 26 matches, 2.0 and 1.58 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +21.
Charlotte: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 23 conceded in 23 matches, 1.7 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Inter Miami | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +21 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | WWLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 13 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 1.58 | 1.7 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.73 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.6 | 52.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 19% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 6) | 2 | 2 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 6): Inter Miami two wins, Charlotte two wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami on 14 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.83 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the six — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Inter Miami 63.6 versus Charlotte 52.1, a gap of 11.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Inter Miami's way at 63%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Inter Miami at 59%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Inter Miami's way, especially at Nu Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Inter Miami or Charlotte?
Inter Miami, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Inter Miami, 22% the draw and 19% Charlotte.
When and where is Inter Miami vs Charlotte being played?
7 November 2026 at Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Inter Miami and Charlotte?
Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami on 14 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and Charlotte?
Inter Miami have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Charlotte 7 from theirs (WWLDL). Most recently Inter Miami took a 2-1 win away at New England Revolution and Charlotte a 4-0 win at home to Orlando City SC.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 1.40 for Inter Miami and 3.00 for Charlotte. It rates over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.