CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the pick at 55% for CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
CF Montreal face Vancouver Whitecaps on 7 November 2026 at Saputo Stadium, Montreal. Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 34 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as CF Montreal - Vancouver Whitecaps. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
CF Montreal: they come in on the back of a draw, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 39 conceded in 22 matches, 1.14 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.2 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -30.
Vancouver Whitecaps: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (54 scored and 36 conceded in 29 matches, 1.86 and 1.24 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +38.
Comparison data
| Statistic | CF Montreal | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -30 | +38 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLDD | WWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 9 | 11 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 29 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 1.77 | 1.86 / 1.24 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.86 | 1.55 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.2 | 67.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 20% | 55% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): CF Montreal none wins, Vancouver Whitecaps two wins, one draw — an edge to Vancouver Whitecaps.
- Most recent meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 CF Montreal on 09 March 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: CF Montreal 24.2 versus Vancouver Whitecaps 67.8, a gap of 43.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Vancouver Whitecaps' way at 61%.
The call
The model tilts to Vancouver Whitecaps at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Vancouver Whitecaps' stronger recent metrics back it, the goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: CF Montreal or Vancouver Whitecaps?
Vancouver Whitecaps, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 20% CF Montreal, 25% the draw and 55% Vancouver Whitecaps.
When and where is CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps being played?
7 November 2026 at Saputo Stadium, Montreal, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps?
Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 CF Montreal on 09 March 2025.
What is the recent form of CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps?
CF Montreal have taken 3 points from their last five (DLLDD), Vancouver Whitecaps 10 from theirs (WWLWD). Most recently CF Montreal took a 1-1 draw away at New York City FC and Vancouver Whitecaps a 5-1 win at home to Seattle Sounders.
How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 0.40 for CF Montreal and 2.40 for Vancouver Whitecaps. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.