Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Orlando City SC the pick at 57% for Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
New England Revolution travel to Orlando City SC on 7 November 2026 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando. Orlando City SC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 34 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Orlando City SC - New England Revolution. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Orlando City SC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 52 conceded in 24 matches, 1.46 and 2.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -16.
New England Revolution: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 25 conceded in 22 matches, 1.32 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Orlando City SC | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -16 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDWD | LWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 12 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.46 / 2.17 | 1.32 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.38 | 1.45 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.0 | 67.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 24% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 6) | 4 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 6): Orlando City SC four wins, New England Revolution one win, one draw — an edge to Orlando City SC.
- Most recent meeting: New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SC on 19 July 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.17 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the six — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Orlando City SC 41.0 versus New England Revolution 67.2, a gap of 26.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Orlando City SC's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Orlando City SC at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. New England Revolution's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Orlando City SC's way, especially at Exploria Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Orlando City SC or New England Revolution?
Orlando City SC, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Orlando City SC, 19% the draw and 24% New England Revolution.
When and where is Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution being played?
7 November 2026 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Orlando City SC and New England Revolution?
New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SC on 19 July 2025.
What is the recent form of Orlando City SC and New England Revolution?
Orlando City SC have taken 6 points from their last five (LDDWD), New England Revolution 12 from theirs (LWWWW). Most recently Orlando City SC took a 0-4 defeat away at Charlotte and New England Revolution a 1-2 defeat at home to Inter Miami.
How many goals are expected in Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for Orlando City SC and 2.00 for New England Revolution. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.