Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Seattle Sounders host Los Angeles FC on 8 November 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle. Seattle Sounders are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 34 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles FC. Kick-off is 00:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Seattle Sounders: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 35 conceded in 27 matches, 1.3 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.9 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -3.
Los Angeles FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (54 scored and 39 conceded in 32 matches, 1.69 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +13.
Side by side
| Statistic | Seattle Sounders | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -3 | +13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDDL | LDDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 10 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 32 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.69 / 1.22 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.48 | 1.62 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.9 | 48.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 36% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 2 | 6 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Seattle Sounders two wins, Los Angeles FC six wins, none draws — an edge to Los Angeles FC.
- Most recent meeting: Los Angeles FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders on 25 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.88 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in three of the eight — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Seattle Sounders 30.9 versus Los Angeles FC 48.2, a gap of 17.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Seattle Sounders' way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Seattle Sounders is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Seattle Sounders's way, especially at Lumen Field.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Seattle Sounders or Los Angeles FC?
Seattle Sounders, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Seattle Sounders, 25% the draw and 36% Los Angeles FC.
When and where is Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC being played?
8 November 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC?
Los Angeles FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders on 25 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC?
Seattle Sounders have taken 2 points from their last five (LLDDL), Los Angeles FC 6 from theirs (LDDWD). Most recently Seattle Sounders took a 1-5 defeat away at Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC a 1-3 defeat at home to Minnesota United FC.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.00 for Seattle Sounders and 1.60 for Los Angeles FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.