FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Dallas the pick at 55% for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Dallas face Colorado Rapids on 8 November 2026 at Toyota Stadium, Frisco. FC Dallas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 34 fixture in Major League Soccer is listed as FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids. Kick-off is 00:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Dallas: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 34 conceded in 25 matches, 1.68 and 1.36 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.9 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
Colorado Rapids: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 34 conceded in 24 matches, 1.38 and 1.42 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | FC Dallas | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 9th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDW | LDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 7 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.68 / 1.36 | 1.38 / 1.42 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 53.9 | 44.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 19% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 7) | 2 | 3 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 7): FC Dallas two wins, Colorado Rapids three wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC Dallas on 24 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.71 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Dallas 53.9 versus Colorado Rapids 44.8, a gap of 9.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans FC Dallas' way at 62%.
The call
The model tilts to FC Dallas at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Dallas's way, especially at Toyota Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Dallas or Colorado Rapids?
FC Dallas, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% FC Dallas, 26% the draw and 19% Colorado Rapids.
When and where is FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids being played?
8 November 2026 at Toyota Stadium, Frisco, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FC Dallas and Colorado Rapids?
Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC Dallas on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of FC Dallas and Colorado Rapids?
FC Dallas have taken 8 points from their last five (DLWDW), Colorado Rapids 6 from theirs (LDWDD). Most recently FC Dallas took a 1-1 draw away at Sporting Kansas City and Colorado Rapids a 2-4 defeat at home to Chicago Fire.
How many goals are expected in FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for FC Dallas and 1.20 for Colorado Rapids. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.