Cruzeiro vs Remo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Cruzeiro and Remo on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Remo travel to Cruzeiro on 23 October 2026 at Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 43%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 32 fixture in Serie A is listed as Cruzeiro - Remo. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cruzeiro: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 41 conceded in 36 matches, 1.28 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Remo: they come in on three successive draws, following two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.26 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cruzeiro | Remo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 19th |
| Goal difference | +4 | -15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWL | DDDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 9 | 4 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 36 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.28 / 1.14 | 1.11 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.0 | 31.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Cruzeiro 56.0 versus Remo 31.2, a gap of 24.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 15 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 10% and both teams to score at 34%.
- First goal: Leans Cruzeiro's way at 68%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 43%, but the three results sit close to even. Cruzeiro's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cruzeiro or Remo?
Neither side. Our model splits it 43% Cruzeiro, 43% the draw and 14% Remo, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Cruzeiro vs Remo being played?
23 October 2026 at Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cruzeiro and Remo?
Remo 0-1 Cruzeiro on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Cruzeiro and Remo?
Cruzeiro have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWWL), Remo 3 from theirs (DDDLL). Most recently Cruzeiro took a 4-2 win away at Gremio and Remo a 1-1 draw at home to RB Bragantino.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Remo?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.40 for Cruzeiro and 1.00 for Remo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 10%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 34%, so its call is no.