Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino match summary and prediction — Serie A
Our model makes Palmeiras the pick at 59% for Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Palmeiras host RB Bragantino on 24 October 2026 at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo. Palmeiras are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 32 fixture in Serie A is listed as Palmeiras - RB Bragantino. Kick-off is 21:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Palmeiras: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (73 scored and 33 conceded in 46 matches, 1.59 and 0.72 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 76.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +32.
RB Bragantino: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 38 conceded in 38 matches, 1.08 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.4 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Palmeiras | RB Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 10th |
| Goal difference | +32 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 3 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 46 | 38 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.59 / 0.72 | 1.08 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.04 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 76.3 | 42.4 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 12% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 3 | 0 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Palmeiras three wins, RB Bragantino none wins, none draws — an edge to Palmeiras.
- Most recent meeting: RB Bragantino 0-1 Palmeiras on 26 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.33 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in two of the three — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Palmeiras 76.3 versus RB Bragantino 42.4, a gap of 33.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Palmeiras' way at 69%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Palmeiras at 59%, a gap of 30 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Palmeiras's way, especially at Nubank Parque.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Palmeiras or RB Bragantino?
Palmeiras, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Palmeiras, 29% the draw and 12% RB Bragantino.
When and where is Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino being played?
24 October 2026 at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Palmeiras and RB Bragantino?
RB Bragantino 0-1 Palmeiras on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Palmeiras and RB Bragantino?
Palmeiras have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), RB Bragantino 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently Palmeiras took a 0-1 defeat at home to Fluminense and RB Bragantino a 1-1 draw away at Remo.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.80 for Palmeiras and 0.80 for RB Bragantino. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Palmeiras and eight for RB Bragantino at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.