RB Bragantino vs Santos — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Santos the pick at 42% for RB Bragantino vs Santos. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
RB Bragantino host Santos on 2 November 2026. Santos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 34 fixture in Serie A is listed as RB Bragantino - Santos. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
RB Bragantino: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (44 scored and 40 conceded in 40 matches, 1.1 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +4.
Santos: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (63 scored and 54 conceded in 46 matches, 1.37 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | RB Bragantino | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDWD | DDWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 6 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 40 | 46 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.1 / 1.0 | 1.37 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.3 | 1.48 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.7 | 45.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 42% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): RB Bragantino none wins, Santos one win, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Santos 2-0 RB Bragantino on 10 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: RB Bragantino 52.7 versus Santos 45.5, a gap of 7.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans RB Bragantino's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards Santos at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: RB Bragantino or Santos?
Santos, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 35% RB Bragantino, 23% the draw and 42% Santos.
When and where is RB Bragantino vs Santos being played?
2 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between RB Bragantino and Santos?
Santos 2-0 RB Bragantino on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of RB Bragantino and Santos?
RB Bragantino have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDWD), Santos 6 from theirs (DDWLD). Most recently RB Bragantino took a 3-0 win at home to Chapecoense-sc and Santos a 0-0 draw at home to Palmeiras.
How many goals are expected in RB Bragantino vs Santos?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.40 for RB Bragantino and 1.40 for Santos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.