Drogheda United vs Galway United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Drogheda United and Galway United on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Drogheda United host Galway United on 30 October 2026 at Weavers Park, Drogheda. Drogheda United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 36 fixture in Premier Division is listed as Drogheda United - Galway United. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Drogheda United: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 40 conceded in 25 matches, 1.16 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -15.
Galway United: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 35 conceded in 24 matches, 1.29 and 1.46 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Drogheda United | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -15 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWL | DLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.16 / 1.6 | 1.29 / 1.46 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.2 | 40.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 31% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Drogheda United one win, Galway United one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Galway United 0-0 Drogheda United on 07 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Drogheda United's way at 51%.
The call
The model does not commit. Drogheda United is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate. Baseline expectation tilts Drogheda United's way, especially at Weavers Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Drogheda United or Galway United?
Drogheda United, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 36% Drogheda United, 34% the draw and 31% Galway United.
When and where is Drogheda United vs Galway United being played?
30 October 2026 at Weavers Park, Drogheda, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Drogheda United and Galway United?
Galway United 0-0 Drogheda United on 07 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Drogheda United and Galway United?
Drogheda United have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLWL), Galway United 5 from theirs (DLWLD). Most recently Drogheda United took a 1-3 defeat away at Waterford and Galway United a 0-0 draw at home to St Patrick's Athl.
How many goals are expected in Drogheda United vs Galway United?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.00 for Drogheda United and 1.20 for Galway United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.