Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba match summary and prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina
Our model makes Sarmiento Junin the pick at 82% for Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sarmiento Junin face Belgrano Cordoba on 13 September 2026 at Estadio Eva Peron, Junin. Sarmiento Junin are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 82%. This clausura 9 fixture in Liga Profesional Argentina is listed as Sarmiento Junin - Belgrano Cordoba. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sarmiento Junin: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 19 conceded in 16 matches, 0.75 and 1.19 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -7.
Belgrano Cordoba: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 16 conceded in 19 matches, 1.21 and 0.84 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sarmiento Junin | Belgrano Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -7 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWW | DDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 16 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.75 / 1.19 | 1.21 / 0.84 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.19 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.2 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 82% | 2% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sarmiento Junin 63.2 versus Belgrano Cordoba 52.7, a gap of 10.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 9% and both teams to score at 17%.
- First goal: Leans Sarmiento Junin's way at 84%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Sarmiento Junin at 82%, a gap of 66 percentage points to the next outcome. Sarmiento Junin's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sarmiento Junin's way, especially at Estadio Eva Peron.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sarmiento Junin or Belgrano Cordoba?
Sarmiento Junin, with an implied win probability of roughly 82%. The full split is 82% Sarmiento Junin, 16% the draw and 2% Belgrano Cordoba.
When and where is Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba being played?
13 September 2026 at Estadio Eva Peron, Junin, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sarmiento Junin and Belgrano Cordoba?
Belgrano Cordoba 4-0 Sarmiento Junin on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sarmiento Junin and Belgrano Cordoba?
Sarmiento Junin have taken 12 points from their last five (WLWWW), Belgrano Cordoba 5 from theirs (DDLLW). Most recently Sarmiento Junin took a 2-0 win away at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Belgrano Cordoba a 1-1 draw at home to Huracan.
How many goals are expected in Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.60 for Sarmiento Junin and 0.60 for Belgrano Cordoba. It rates over 2.5 goals at 9%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 17%, so its call is no.