Platense vs Newells Old Boys match summary and prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina
Our model makes a draw the pick at 53% for Platense vs Newells Old Boys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Newells Old Boys travel to Platense on 20 September 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Buenos Aires. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 53%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This clausura 10 fixture in Liga Profesional Argentina is listed as Platense - Newells Old Boys. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Platense: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 22 conceded in 21 matches, 0.86 and 1.05 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.4 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -5.
Newells Old Boys: they come in on three successive draws, following two wins before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 24 conceded in 15 matches, 0.87 and 1.6 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Platense | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDL | DDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.86 / 1.05 | 0.87 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.19 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.4 | 52.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Platense 40.4 versus Newells Old Boys 52.0, a gap of 11.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.33, over 2.5 goals at 12% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Platense's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Platense or Newells Old Boys?
Neither side. Our model splits it 25% Platense, 53% the draw and 22% Newells Old Boys, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Platense vs Newells Old Boys being played?
20 September 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Buenos Aires, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Platense and Newells Old Boys?
Newells Old Boys 1-1 Platense on 11 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Platense and Newells Old Boys?
Platense have taken 4 points from their last five (WLLDL), Newells Old Boys 9 from theirs (DDDWW). Most recently Platense took a 2-1 win at home to Fluminense and Newells Old Boys a 1-1 draw at home to Velez Sarsfield.
How many goals are expected in Platense vs Newells Old Boys?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.33 — 1.00 for Platense and 1.33 for Newells Old Boys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 12%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.