San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys match summary and prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina
Our model makes San Lorenzo the pick at 44% for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
San Lorenzo host Newells Old Boys on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires. San Lorenzo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This clausura 14 fixture in Liga Profesional Argentina is listed as San Lorenzo - Newells Old Boys. Kick-off is 22:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
San Lorenzo: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 28 conceded in 29 matches, 0.86 and 0.97 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of 0.
Newells Old Boys: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 31 conceded in 20 matches, 0.9 and 1.55 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | San Lorenzo | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 14th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLD | WLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 4 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 29 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.86 / 0.97 | 0.9 / 1.55 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.24 | 0.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 48.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 28% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans San Lorenzo's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards San Lorenzo at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts San Lorenzo's way, especially at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: San Lorenzo or Newells Old Boys?
San Lorenzo, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% San Lorenzo, 28% the draw and 28% Newells Old Boys.
When and where is San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires, kick-off 22:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys?
Newells Old Boys 0-0 San Lorenzo on 12 April 2026.
What is the recent form of San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys?
San Lorenzo have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLLD), Newells Old Boys 8 from theirs (WLDWD). Most recently San Lorenzo took a 2-1 win away at Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys a 2-1 win at home to Central Cordoba de Santiago.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.80 for San Lorenzo and 1.00 for Newells Old Boys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.