Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Tigre the pick at 44% for Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Tigre face Atletico Tucuman on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires. Tigre are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This clausura 14 fixture in Liga Profesional Argentina is listed as Tigre - Atletico Tucuman. Kick-off is 00:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Tigre: they come in on the back of a draw, following four defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 27 conceded in 29 matches, 1.14 and 0.93 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.1 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +3.
Atletico Tucuman: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 25 conceded in 21 matches, 0.81 and 1.19 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Tigre | Atletico Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLLL | LDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 29 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.14 / 0.93 | 0.81 / 1.19 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.24 | 0.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.1 | 27.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 23% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Tigre 29.1 versus Atletico Tucuman 27.1, a gap of 2.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams to score at 42%.
- First goal: Leans Tigre's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Tigre at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Tigre's way, especially at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tigre or Atletico Tucuman?
Tigre, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Tigre, 33% the draw and 23% Atletico Tucuman.
When and where is Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires, kick-off 00:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Tigre and Atletico Tucuman?
Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Tigre on 12 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Tigre and Atletico Tucuman?
Tigre have taken 1 points from their last five (DLLLL), Atletico Tucuman 2 from theirs (LDLLD). Most recently Tigre took a 2-2 draw away at Independ. Rivadavia and Atletico Tucuman a 2-3 defeat at home to Rosario Central.
How many goals are expected in Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.40 for Tigre and 1.20 for Atletico Tucuman. It rates over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 42%, so its call is no.