Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Newells Old Boys the pick at 41% for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Union Santa Fe travel to Newells Old Boys on 1 November 2026 at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario. Newells Old Boys are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This clausura 15 fixture in Liga Profesional Argentina is listed as Newells Old Boys - Union Santa Fe. Kick-off is 21:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Newells Old Boys: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 31 conceded in 21 matches, 0.86 and 1.48 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Union Santa Fe: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 31 conceded in 23 matches, 1.43 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Newells Old Boys | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLDW | WDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 2 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.86 / 1.48 | 1.43 / 1.35 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.7 | 39.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Newells Old Boys 48.7 versus Union Santa Fe 39.3, a gap of 9.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Newells Old Boys' way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Newells Old Boys at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Newells Old Boys' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Newells Old Boys's way, especially at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Newells Old Boys or Union Santa Fe?
Newells Old Boys, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Newells Old Boys, 28% the draw and 32% Union Santa Fe.
When and where is Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe being played?
1 November 2026 at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe?
Union Santa Fe 1-2 Newells Old Boys on 17 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Newells Old Boys and Union Santa Fe?
Newells Old Boys have taken 8 points from their last five (DWLDW), Union Santa Fe 4 from theirs (WDLLL). Most recently Newells Old Boys took a 0-0 draw away at San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe a 3-1 win at home to Estudiantes L.P.
How many goals are expected in Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Newells Old Boys and 2.00 for Union Santa Fe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.