Sarmiento Junin 1-2 Rosario Central — how it happened, and what the numbers showed
Rosario Central beat Sarmiento Junin 1-2 at Estadio Eva Peron. How the goals came, what the statistics said and whether our pre-match prediction landed.
Rosario Central came through 1-2 at Estadio Eva Peron on 31 October 2026, winning by a single goal. It was a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, clausura 15, played in Hu Ning. Sarmiento Junin went into it 11th in the table, Rosario Central 4th. Half time had it at 1-1.
How it unfolded
The first half set the tone. Manuel García put the first goal on the board on 5 minutes, set up by Julian Mavilla. Gaston Avila levelled for Rosario Central on 29 minutes, set up by Enzo Copetti. That left it 1-1 at the interval.
The decisive passages came after half time. Gaston Avila put Rosario Central ahead on 90+5 minutes, set up by Ignacio Ovando. Rosario Central saw out 1-2 from there.
The shape of the game
The goals were spread across the game, two before the interval and one after it. Rosario Central had to come from behind to do it, which is the detail that will stay with this one. The final goal did not come until 90+5 minutes, and it settled the result. Both sides found the net, and two different players got on the scoresheet.
Cards and flashpoints
Renzo Orihuela was sent off on 67 minutes for Sarmiento Junin, a straight red. Santiago Salle was sent off on 90 minutes for Sarmiento Junin, a straight red. The dismissal changed the shape of the contest more than any substitution did. Six yellow cards were also shown.
The numbers
Rosario Central had 65% of the ball to Sarmiento Junin's 35%. Sarmiento Junin had 7 attempts to Rosario Central's 17, with 2 and 6 respectively on target. Elsewhere, corners finished 2-13 and the goalkeepers made 4 and 1 saves.
Names from the teamsheet
Gaston Avila scored two goals for Rosario Central. G. Ávila finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.8 and a match-high five attempts for Rosario Central. J. Campaz finished with six key passes for Rosario Central. Sarmiento Junin set up in a 3-4-2-1, Rosario Central in a 4-2-3-1.
How our prediction fared
Before kick-off our model made Rosario Central the pick, splitting the three results 25% Sarmiento Junin, 29% the draw and 46% Rosario Central. The call was right, and the game followed the shape the numbers expected. The goals line called under 2.5 goals; the game produced three, so that one was wrong. Both teams to score was called yes and both did score — right again.
For the record
For the record: played at Estadio Eva Peron in Hu Ning and refereed by Andres Merlos. Scorers: Sarmiento Junin — Manuel García 5. Rosario Central — Gaston Avila 29, 90+5. Half time 1-1, full time 1-2. Eight cards shown, two of them red.
What it means
Rosario Central take the three points, and on this evidence they earned them without ever being able to relax. Sarmiento Junin will point to fine margins, and on this occasion they would have a case. Rosario Central went into the day 4th and did what sides in that position are expected to do against a team 11th.
The full statistics, line-ups and our running prediction record for this fixture sit alongside this report on the match page.
Frequently asked questions
What was the final score in Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central?
It finished Sarmiento Junin 1-2 Rosario Central, so Rosario Central took the three points at Estadio Eva Peron.
Who scored?
Manuel García on 5 minutes for Sarmiento Junin, Gaston Avila on 29 minutes for Rosario Central and Gaston Avila on 90+5 minutes for Rosario Central.
When and where was Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning.
Which side controlled the game?
Sarmiento Junin had 35% possession to Rosario Central's 65%.
Did the pre-match prediction get it right?
Our model made Rosario Central the pick at 46%, and that was correct. Every call is recorded in our published accuracy log.