Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys match summary and prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina
Our model makes Instituto Cordoba the pick at 56% for Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Newells Old Boys travel to Instituto Cordoba on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba. Instituto Cordoba are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This clausura 16 fixture in Liga Profesional Argentina is listed as Instituto Cordoba - Newells Old Boys. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Instituto Cordoba: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 23 conceded in 23 matches, 1.26 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0.
Newells Old Boys: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 32 conceded in 22 matches, 0.86 and 1.45 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Instituto Cordoba | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 14th |
| Goal difference | 0 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWDW | DDWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 6 | 3 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.26 / 1.0 | 0.86 / 1.45 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.74 | 0.91 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.7 | 42.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 16% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Instituto Cordoba 61.7 versus Newells Old Boys 42.0, a gap of 19.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Instituto Cordoba's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Instituto Cordoba at 56%, a gap of 28 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Instituto Cordoba's way, especially at Estadio Presidente Peron.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Instituto Cordoba or Newells Old Boys?
Instituto Cordoba, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Instituto Cordoba, 28% the draw and 16% Newells Old Boys.
When and where is Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys?
Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto Cordoba on 26 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Instituto Cordoba and Newells Old Boys?
Instituto Cordoba have taken 11 points from their last five (DWWDW), Newells Old Boys 6 from theirs (DDWLD). Most recently Instituto Cordoba took a 3-3 draw away at Estudiantes L.P. and Newells Old Boys a 1-1 draw at home to Union Santa Fe.
How many goals are expected in Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.80 for Instituto Cordoba and 0.80 for Newells Old Boys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.