Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Djurgardens IF the pick at 68% for Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Djurgardens IF face Orgryte IS on 24 October 2026 at 3Arena, Stockholm. Djurgardens IF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 68%. This matchday 25 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Djurgardens IF - Orgryte IS. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Djurgardens IF: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 14 conceded in 16 matches, 2.06 and 0.88 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +29.
Orgryte IS: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 42 conceded in 18 matches, 1.44 and 2.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.1 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -25.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Djurgardens IF | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 15th |
| Goal difference | +29 | -25 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWLW | WLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 7 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 16 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.06 / 0.88 | 1.44 / 2.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.81 | 0.94 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 72.2 | 32.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 68% | 11% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Djurgardens IF 72.2 versus Orgryte IS 32.1, a gap of 40.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Orgryte IS carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to no.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Djurgardens IF's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Djurgardens IF at 68%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. Djurgardens IF's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Djurgardens IF's way, especially at 3Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Djurgardens IF or Orgryte IS?
Djurgardens IF, with an implied win probability of roughly 68%. The full split is 68% Djurgardens IF, 21% the draw and 11% Orgryte IS.
When and where is Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS being played?
24 October 2026 at 3Arena, Stockholm, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS?
Orgryte IS 0-0 Djurgardens IF on 20 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS?
Djurgardens IF have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWLW), Orgryte IS 4 from theirs (WLLLD). Most recently Djurgardens IF took a 2-0 win away at IF Brommapojkarna and Orgryte IS a 4-2 win at home to Gais.
How many goals are expected in Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 2.20 for Djurgardens IF and 2.40 for Orgryte IS. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists no players unavailable for Djurgardens IF and eight for Orgryte IS at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.