IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF match summary and prediction — Allsvenskan
There is barely anything between IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Malmo FF travel to IF Elfsborg on 23 October 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 44%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 25 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as IF Elfsborg - Malmo FF. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
IF Elfsborg: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 20 conceded in 17 matches, 1.24 and 1.18 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.6 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +13.
Malmo FF: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 28 conceded in 18 matches, 1.94 and 1.56 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | IF Elfsborg | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +13 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWW | LWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 8 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 17 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.24 / 1.18 | 1.94 / 1.56 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.41 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.6 | 49.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 14% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: IF Elfsborg 61.6 versus Malmo FF 49.3, a gap of 12.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 22% and both teams to score at 41%.
- First goal: Leans IF Elfsborg's way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 44%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: IF Elfsborg or Malmo FF?
Neither side. Our model splits it 42% IF Elfsborg, 44% the draw and 14% Malmo FF, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF being played?
23 October 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF?
Malmo FF 1-2 IF Elfsborg on 26 July 2026.
What is the recent form of IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF?
IF Elfsborg have taken 10 points from their last five (DWLWW), Malmo FF 9 from theirs (LWWLW). Most recently IF Elfsborg took a 2-2 draw away at Sirius and Malmo FF a 0-1 defeat at home to BK Hacken.
How many goals are expected in IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for IF Elfsborg and 1.00 for Malmo FF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 22%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 41%, so its call is no.