BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes BK Hacken the pick at 53% for BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Degerfors IF travel to BK Hacken on 24 October 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg. BK Hacken are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 25 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as BK Hacken - Degerfors IF. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
BK Hacken: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 23 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 1.28 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.9 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +13.
Degerfors IF: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 27 conceded in 16 matches, 1.0 and 1.69 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.3 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -16.
Side by side
| Statistic | BK Hacken | Degerfors IF |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +13 | -16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWD | LDDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 1 | 3 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.56 / 1.28 | 1.0 / 1.69 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.9 | 34.3 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 2 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 24% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: BK Hacken 64.9 versus Degerfors IF 34.3, a gap of 30.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans BK Hacken's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to BK Hacken at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. BK Hacken's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts BK Hacken's way, especially at Nordic Wellness Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: BK Hacken or Degerfors IF?
BK Hacken, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% BK Hacken, 23% the draw and 24% Degerfors IF.
When and where is BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF being played?
24 October 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between BK Hacken and Degerfors IF?
Degerfors IF 1-1 BK Hacken on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of BK Hacken and Degerfors IF?
BK Hacken have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD), Degerfors IF 2 from theirs (LDDLL). Most recently BK Hacken took a 1-0 win away at Malmo FF and Degerfors IF a 1-2 defeat at home to Kalmar FF.
How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.60 for BK Hacken and 0.80 for Degerfors IF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for BK Hacken and two for Degerfors IF at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.