Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Sirius the pick at 55% for Sirius vs AIK Stockholm. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sirius host AIK Stockholm on 24 October 2026 at Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Sirius are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 25 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Sirius - AIK Stockholm. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sirius: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 22 conceded in 20 matches, 2.45 and 1.1 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 74.6 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +25.
AIK Stockholm: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 28 conceded in 18 matches, 1.28 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sirius | AIK Stockholm |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 9th |
| Goal difference | +25 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDW | DLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 10 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.45 / 1.1 | 1.28 / 1.56 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.45 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 74.6 | 30.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 18 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 24% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sirius 74.6 versus AIK Stockholm 30.7, a gap of 43.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: AIK Stockholm carry the heavier absentee list, 18 players to no.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Sirius' way at 61%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Sirius at 55%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. Sirius' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sirius's way, especially at Studenternas IP.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sirius or AIK Stockholm?
Sirius, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Sirius, 21% the draw and 24% AIK Stockholm.
When and where is Sirius vs AIK Stockholm being played?
24 October 2026 at Studenternas IP, Uppsala, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sirius and AIK Stockholm?
AIK Stockholm 0-3 Sirius on 30 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sirius and AIK Stockholm?
Sirius have taken 8 points from their last four (DWDW), AIK Stockholm 2 from theirs (DLLDL). Most recently Sirius took a 2-2 draw at home to IF Elfsborg and AIK Stockholm a 2-2 draw at home to IFK Goteborg.
How many goals are expected in Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.40 for Sirius and 1.00 for AIK Stockholm. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists no players unavailable for Sirius and 18 for AIK Stockholm at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.