AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg match summary and prediction — Allsvenskan
There is barely anything between AIK Stockholm and IF Elfsborg on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
IF Elfsborg travel to AIK Stockholm on 27 October 2026 at Strawberry Arena, Solna. AIK Stockholm are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 26 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as AIK Stockholm - IF Elfsborg. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
AIK Stockholm: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 28 conceded in 18 matches, 1.28 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -4.
IF Elfsborg: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 22 conceded in 18 matches, 1.28 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.6 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +13.
Side by side
| Statistic | AIK Stockholm | IF Elfsborg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLDL | DWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 15 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.28 / 1.56 | 1.28 / 1.22 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.44 | 1.39 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.7 | 61.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 34% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: AIK Stockholm 30.7 versus IF Elfsborg 61.6, a gap of 30.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans AIK Stockholm's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. AIK Stockholm is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. IF Elfsborg's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts AIK Stockholm's way, especially at Strawberry Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AIK Stockholm or IF Elfsborg?
AIK Stockholm, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 36% AIK Stockholm, 30% the draw and 34% IF Elfsborg.
When and where is AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg being played?
27 October 2026 at Strawberry Arena, Solna, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between AIK Stockholm and IF Elfsborg?
IF Elfsborg 1-1 AIK Stockholm on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of AIK Stockholm and IF Elfsborg?
AIK Stockholm have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLDL), IF Elfsborg 10 from theirs (DWLWW). Most recently AIK Stockholm took a 2-2 draw at home to IFK Goteborg and IF Elfsborg a 2-2 draw away at Sirius.
How many goals are expected in AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for AIK Stockholm and 1.40 for IF Elfsborg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.