Hammarby FF vs Sirius match summary and prediction — Allsvenskan
Our model makes Hammarby FF the pick at 59% for Hammarby FF vs Sirius. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hammarby FF face Sirius on 29 October 2026 at 3Arena, Stockholm. Hammarby FF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 26 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Hammarby FF - Sirius. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hammarby FF: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 21 conceded in 22 matches, 1.91 and 0.95 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +29.
Sirius: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (50 scored and 24 conceded in 21 matches, 2.38 and 1.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +24.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hammarby FF | Sirius |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +29 | +24 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWW | LDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 2 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.91 / 0.95 | 2.38 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.73 | 2.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.6 | 64.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Hammarby FF 65.6 versus Sirius 64.3, a gap of 1.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Hammarby FF's way at 61%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Hammarby FF at 59%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hammarby FF's way, especially at 3Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hammarby FF or Sirius?
Hammarby FF, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Hammarby FF, 20% the draw and 21% Sirius.
When and where is Hammarby FF vs Sirius being played?
29 October 2026 at 3Arena, Stockholm, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hammarby FF and Sirius?
Sirius 2-0 Hammarby FF on 13 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Hammarby FF and Sirius?
Hammarby FF have taken 12 points from their last five (WLWWW), Sirius 5 from theirs (LDWD). Most recently Hammarby FF took a 1-0 win away at Halmstad and Sirius a 1-2 defeat at home to AIK Stockholm.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Hammarby FF and 1.20 for Sirius. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.