IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes IF Elfsborg the pick at 62% for IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
IF Elfsborg face Orgryte IS on 1 November 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras. IF Elfsborg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 27 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as IF Elfsborg - Orgryte IS. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
IF Elfsborg: they come in on three successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches, 1.25 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +13.
Orgryte IS: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 46 conceded in 20 matches, 1.45 and 2.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -26.
Side by side
| Statistic | IF Elfsborg | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 15th |
| Goal difference | +13 | -26 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDDWL | LDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 8 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 1.2 | 1.45 / 2.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.35 | 0.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.2 | 31.8 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: IF Elfsborg 58.2 versus Orgryte IS 31.8, a gap of 26.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans IF Elfsborg's way at 63%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards IF Elfsborg at 62%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts IF Elfsborg's way, especially at Borås Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: IF Elfsborg or Orgryte IS?
IF Elfsborg, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% IF Elfsborg, 21% the draw and 17% Orgryte IS.
When and where is IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS being played?
1 November 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between IF Elfsborg and Orgryte IS?
Orgryte IS 2-2 IF Elfsborg on 29 May 2026.
What is the recent form of IF Elfsborg and Orgryte IS?
IF Elfsborg have taken 6 points from their last five (DDDWL), Orgryte IS 4 from theirs (LDWLL). Most recently IF Elfsborg took a 2-2 draw away at AIK Stockholm and Orgryte IS a 1-2 defeat at home to Mjallby AIF.
How many goals are expected in IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.20 for IF Elfsborg and 1.80 for Orgryte IS. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for IF Elfsborg and six for Orgryte IS at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.