Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Hammarby FF the pick at 45% for Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hammarby FF travel to Malmo FF on 1 November 2026 at Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Hammarby FF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 27 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Malmo FF - Hammarby FF. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Malmo FF: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 29 conceded in 21 matches, 1.81 and 1.38 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +7.
Hammarby FF: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 21 conceded in 24 matches, 1.92 and 0.88 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +33.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Malmo FF | Hammarby FF |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +7 | +33 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWW | WWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 1 | 6 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.81 / 1.38 | 1.92 / 0.88 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.48 | 1.83 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.1 | 73.2 |
| Players unavailable | 16 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 45% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Malmo FF 50.1 versus Hammarby FF 73.2, a gap of 23.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Malmo FF carry the heavier absentee list, 16 players to six.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Hammarby FF's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Hammarby FF at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Malmo FF or Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 32% Malmo FF, 23% the draw and 45% Hammarby FF.
When and where is Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF being played?
1 November 2026 at Eleda Stadion, Malmö, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Malmo FF and Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF 4-1 Malmo FF on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Malmo FF and Hammarby FF?
Malmo FF have taken 10 points from their last five (WDLWW), Hammarby FF 12 from theirs (WWWLW). Most recently Malmo FF took a 3-0 win away at Halmstad and Hammarby FF a 2-0 win at home to Sirius.
How many goals are expected in Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.40 for Malmo FF and 1.80 for Hammarby FF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 16 players unavailable for Malmo FF and six for Hammarby FF at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.