IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes IFK Goteborg the pick at 43% for IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Malmo FF travel to IFK Goteborg on 8 November 2026 at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. IFK Goteborg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 28 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as IFK Goteborg - Malmo FF. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
IFK Goteborg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 42 conceded in 23 matches, 1.35 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.5 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -10.
Malmo FF: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 31 conceded in 22 matches, 1.77 and 1.41 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | IFK Goteborg | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -10 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDDW | LWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 5 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.35 / 1.83 | 1.77 / 1.41 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.22 | 1.41 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.5 | 49.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: IFK Goteborg 42.5 versus Malmo FF 49.8, a gap of 7.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans IFK Goteborg's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards IFK Goteborg at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Malmo FF's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts IFK Goteborg's way, especially at Gamla Ullevi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: IFK Goteborg or Malmo FF?
IFK Goteborg, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% IFK Goteborg, 25% the draw and 32% Malmo FF.
When and where is IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF being played?
8 November 2026 at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between IFK Goteborg and Malmo FF?
Malmo FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg on 12 July 2026.
What is the recent form of IFK Goteborg and Malmo FF?
IFK Goteborg have taken 6 points from their last five (LDDDW), Malmo FF 7 from theirs (LWDLW). Most recently IFK Goteborg took a 0-1 defeat away at BK Hacken and Malmo FF a 1-2 defeat at home to Hammarby FF.
How many goals are expected in IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for IFK Goteborg and 1.60 for Malmo FF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.