Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Hammarby FF the pick at 60% for Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hammarby FF face IF Elfsborg on 6 November 2026 at 3Arena, Stockholm. Hammarby FF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 28 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Hammarby FF - IF Elfsborg. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hammarby FF: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 22 conceded in 25 matches, 1.92 and 0.88 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +34.
IF Elfsborg: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 25 conceded in 21 matches, 1.29 and 1.19 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hammarby FF | IF Elfsborg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 5th |
| Goal difference | +34 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | WDDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 25 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.92 / 0.88 | 1.29 / 1.19 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.88 | 1.43 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 73.5 | 58.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Hammarby FF 73.5 versus IF Elfsborg 58.5, a gap of 15.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Hammarby FF's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Hammarby FF at 60%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hammarby FF's way, especially at 3Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hammarby FF or IF Elfsborg?
Hammarby FF, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Hammarby FF, 23% the draw and 17% IF Elfsborg.
When and where is Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg being played?
6 November 2026 at 3Arena, Stockholm, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hammarby FF and IF Elfsborg?
IF Elfsborg 1-2 Hammarby FF on 05 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Hammarby FF and IF Elfsborg?
Hammarby FF have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), IF Elfsborg 9 from theirs (WDDDW). Most recently Hammarby FF took a 2-1 win away at Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg a 2-1 win at home to Orgryte IS.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Hammarby FF and 1.40 for IF Elfsborg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.