Kalmar FF vs Sirius: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Sirius the pick at 51% for Kalmar FF vs Sirius. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kalmar FF host Sirius on 8 November 2026 at Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar. Sirius are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 28 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Kalmar FF - Sirius. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kalmar FF: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 29 conceded in 20 matches, 0.95 and 1.45 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.6 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -19.
Sirius: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (52 scored and 26 conceded in 23 matches, 2.26 and 1.13 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +24.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kalmar FF | Sirius |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -19 | +24 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWL | WLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 6 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.95 / 1.45 | 2.26 / 1.13 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.8 | 2.26 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.6 | 54.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 24% | 51% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kalmar FF 33.6 versus Sirius 54.3, a gap of 20.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Sirius' way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Sirius at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kalmar FF or Sirius?
Sirius, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 24% Kalmar FF, 25% the draw and 51% Sirius.
When and where is Kalmar FF vs Sirius being played?
8 November 2026 at Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Kalmar FF and Sirius?
Sirius 3-2 Kalmar FF on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Kalmar FF and Sirius?
Kalmar FF have taken 4 points from their last five (DLLWL), Sirius 4 from theirs (WLLD). Most recently Kalmar FF took a 0-0 draw away at Mjallby AIF and Sirius a 2-0 win at home to Halmstad.
How many goals are expected in Kalmar FF vs Sirius?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.00 for Kalmar FF and 1.40 for Sirius. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.