Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK match summary and prediction — Allsvenskan
Our model makes Vasteras SK FK the pick at 44% for Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Orgryte IS host Vasteras SK FK on 7 November 2026 at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. Vasteras SK FK are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 28 fixture in Allsvenskan is listed as Orgryte IS - Vasteras SK FK. Kick-off is 16:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Orgryte IS: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 48 conceded in 21 matches, 1.43 and 2.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.6 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -27.
Vasteras SK FK: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 32 conceded in 20 matches, 1.5 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.5 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Orgryte IS | Vasteras SK FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -27 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | WWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 11 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.43 / 2.29 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.86 | 1.55 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.6 | 55.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 44% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Orgryte IS 31.6 versus Vasteras SK FK 55.5, a gap of 23.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Vasteras SK FK's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Vasteras SK FK at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Vasteras SK FK's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Orgryte IS or Vasteras SK FK?
Vasteras SK FK, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 28% Orgryte IS, 28% the draw and 44% Vasteras SK FK.
When and where is Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK being played?
7 November 2026 at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Have Orgryte IS and Vasteras SK FK met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Orgryte IS and Vasteras SK FK?
Orgryte IS have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Vasteras SK FK 9 from theirs (WWLWL). Most recently Orgryte IS took a 1-2 defeat away at IF Elfsborg and Vasteras SK FK a 1-0 win at home to IF Brommapojkarna.
How many goals are expected in Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.80 for Orgryte IS and 2.00 for Vasteras SK FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.