Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Bodo/Glimt the pick at 77% for Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bodo/Glimt face Valerenga on 24 October 2026 at Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata. Bodo/Glimt are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 77%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Bodo/Glimt - Valerenga. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bodo/Glimt: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (53 scored and 22 conceded in 22 matches, 2.41 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 74.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +38.
Valerenga: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 33 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bodo/Glimt | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 11th |
| Goal difference | +38 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 7 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.41 / 1.0 | 1.56 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.41 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 74.5 | 39.7 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 77% | 9% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Bodo/Glimt 74.5 versus Valerenga 39.7, a gap of 34.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Bodo/Glimt's way at 76%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Bodo/Glimt at 77%, a gap of 62 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bodo/Glimt's way, especially at Aspmyra Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bodo/Glimt or Valerenga?
Bodo/Glimt, with an implied win probability of roughly 77%. The full split is 77% Bodo/Glimt, 14% the draw and 9% Valerenga.
When and where is Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga being played?
24 October 2026 at Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bodo/Glimt and Valerenga?
Valerenga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt on 08 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Bodo/Glimt and Valerenga?
Bodo/Glimt have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), Valerenga 7 from theirs (WLDWL). Most recently Bodo/Glimt took a 3-4 defeat away at Napoli and Valerenga a 3-1 win at home to Brann.
How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 2.00 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.20 for Valerenga. It rates over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Bodo/Glimt and six for Valerenga at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.