Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Rosenborg the pick at 50% for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ham-Kam host Rosenborg on 24 October 2026 at Briskeby, Hamar. Rosenborg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 12 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Ham-Kam - Rosenborg. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ham-Kam: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 38 conceded in 18 matches, 1.33 and 2.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -15.
Rosenborg: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 24 conceded in 19 matches, 1.84 and 1.26 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -15 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWL | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 12 | 13 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 2.11 | 1.84 / 1.26 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.06 | 1.58 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.2 | 71.3 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 50% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ham-Kam 31.2 versus Rosenborg 71.3, a gap of 40.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Rosenborg's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Rosenborg at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ham-Kam or Rosenborg?
Rosenborg, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 29% Ham-Kam, 21% the draw and 50% Rosenborg.
When and where is Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg being played?
24 October 2026 at Briskeby, Hamar, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ham-Kam and Rosenborg?
Rosenborg 4-0 Ham-Kam on 05 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Ham-Kam and Rosenborg?
Ham-Kam have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLWL), Rosenborg 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently Ham-Kam took a 0-2 defeat at home to Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg a 3-0 win away at Sarpsborg 08 FF.
How many goals are expected in Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.00 for Ham-Kam and 3.20 for Rosenborg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for Ham-Kam and six for Rosenborg at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.