Viking vs Kristiansund BK — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 47% for Viking vs Kristiansund BK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kristiansund BK travel to Viking on 13 September 2026 at Lyse Arena, Stavanger. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 47%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 21 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Viking - Kristiansund BK. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Viking: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 13 conceded in 13 matches, 2.54 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +24.
Kristiansund BK: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 21 conceded in 13 matches, 0.85 and 1.62 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Viking | Kristiansund BK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 13th |
| Goal difference | +24 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWW | WDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 11 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 13 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.54 / 1.0 | 0.85 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.54 | 0.92 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 64.3 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 10 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 18% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Viking 64.3 versus Kristiansund BK 45.8, a gap of 18.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Viking carry the heavier absentee list, ten players to six.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 91% and both teams to score at 72%.
- First goal: Leans Viking's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Viking or Kristiansund BK?
Neither side. Our model splits it 35% Viking, 47% the draw and 18% Kristiansund BK, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Viking vs Kristiansund BK being played?
13 September 2026 at Lyse Arena, Stavanger, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Viking and Kristiansund BK?
Kristiansund BK 1-2 Viking on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Viking and Kristiansund BK?
Viking have taken 10 points from their last five (LDWWW), Kristiansund BK 10 from theirs (WDWLW). Most recently Viking took a 1-3 defeat away at VfB Stuttgart and Kristiansund BK a 2-0 win at home to Tromso.
How many goals are expected in Viking vs Kristiansund BK?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 3.00 for Viking and 2.00 for Kristiansund BK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 91%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 72%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists ten players unavailable for Viking and six for Kristiansund BK at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.