Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Brann the pick at 49% for Brann vs Bodo/Glimt. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Brann host Bodo/Glimt on 20 September 2026 at Brann Stadion, Bergen. Brann are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 22 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Brann - Bodo/Glimt. Kick-off is 17:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Brann: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 22 conceded in 14 matches, 2.0 and 1.57 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +6.
Bodo/Glimt: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 11 conceded in 14 matches, 2.43 and 0.79 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 83.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +35.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Brann | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +6 | +35 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWW | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 14 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 14 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 1.57 | 2.43 / 0.79 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.36 | 2.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 83.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 11% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Brann 49.8 versus Bodo/Glimt 83.8, a gap of 33.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Brann's way at 67%.
The call
The model edges towards Brann at 49%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Bodo/Glimt's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Brann's way, especially at Brann Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Brann or Bodo/Glimt?
Brann, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Brann, 40% the draw and 11% Bodo/Glimt.
When and where is Brann vs Bodo/Glimt being played?
20 September 2026 at Brann Stadion, Bergen, kick-off 17:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Brann and Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Brann on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Brann and Bodo/Glimt?
Brann have taken 7 points from their last five (LLDWW), Bodo/Glimt 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Brann took a 0-2 defeat away at Start and Bodo/Glimt a 3-2 win at home to Sandefjord.
How many goals are expected in Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.20 for Brann and 0.40 for Bodo/Glimt. It rates over 2.5 goals at 31%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.