Sandefjord vs Start: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Sandefjord and Start on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Sandefjord face Start on 20 September 2026 at Jotun Arena, Sandefjord. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 44%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 22 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Sandefjord - Start. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sandefjord: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 17 conceded in 13 matches, 1.0 and 1.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.4 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Start: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 33 conceded in 14 matches, 1.0 and 2.36 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -19.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sandefjord | Start |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDWW | WLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 20 / 5 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 13 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.31 | 1.0 / 2.36 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.15 | 0.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.4 | 40.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 13% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.50, over 2.5 goals at 21% and both teams to score at 67%.
- First goal: Leans Sandefjord's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 44%, but the three results sit close to even. Start's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sandefjord or Start?
Neither side. Our model splits it 43% Sandefjord, 44% the draw and 13% Start, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Sandefjord vs Start being played?
20 September 2026 at Jotun Arena, Sandefjord, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Sandefjord and Start met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Sandefjord and Start?
Sandefjord have taken 8 points from their last five (LDDWW), Start 9 from theirs (WLWWL). Most recently Sandefjord took a 2-3 defeat away at Bodo/Glimt and Start a 2-0 win at home to Brann.
How many goals are expected in Sandefjord vs Start?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.50 — 1.50 for Sandefjord and 1.00 for Start. It rates over 2.5 goals at 21%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 67%, so its call is yes.