Tromso vs Ham-Kam: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Tromso the pick at 51% for Tromso vs Ham-Kam. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ham-Kam travel to Tromso on 20 September 2026 at Romssa Arena. Tromso are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 22 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Tromso - Ham-Kam. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Tromso: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 15 conceded in 15 matches, 1.73 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Ham-Kam: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 25 conceded in twelve matches, 1.58 and 2.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -14.
Side by side
| Statistic | Tromso | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +10 | -14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLW | LLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 11 | 8 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 15 | 12 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.73 / 1.0 | 1.58 / 2.08 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.07 | 1.25 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.8 | 28.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 10% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Tromso 40.8 versus Ham-Kam 28.2, a gap of 12.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.33, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Tromso's way at 67%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Tromso at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Tromso's way, especially at Romssa Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tromso or Ham-Kam?
Tromso, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Tromso, 38% the draw and 10% Ham-Kam.
When and where is Tromso vs Ham-Kam being played?
20 September 2026 at Romssa Arena, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Tromso and Ham-Kam?
Ham-Kam 1-4 Tromso on 18 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Tromso and Ham-Kam?
Tromso have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDLW), Ham-Kam 4 from theirs (LLDWL). Most recently Tromso took a 3-5 defeat away at Rosenborg and Ham-Kam a 1-5 defeat at home to Molde.
How many goals are expected in Tromso vs Ham-Kam?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.33 — 0.00 for Tromso and 2.33 for Ham-Kam. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.