Aalesund vs Sandefjord — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Aalesund the pick at 50% for Aalesund vs Sandefjord. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Aalesund host Sandefjord on 31 October 2026 at Color Line Stadion, Ålesund. Aalesund are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 25 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Aalesund - Sandefjord. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Aalesund: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 40 conceded in 19 matches, 1.37 and 2.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.8 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -13.
Sandefjord: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and three defeats from the last four, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 29 conceded in 20 matches, 0.8 and 1.45 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Aalesund | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -13 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | LLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 8 | 2 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 19 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.37 / 2.11 | 0.8 / 1.45 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.89 | 0.8 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.8 | 36.1 |
| Players unavailable | 14 | 16 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Aalesund 41.8 versus Sandefjord 36.1, a gap of 5.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Aalesund's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Aalesund at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Aalesund's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Aalesund's way, especially at Color Line Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Aalesund or Sandefjord?
Aalesund, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Aalesund, 23% the draw and 26% Sandefjord.
When and where is Aalesund vs Sandefjord being played?
31 October 2026 at Color Line Stadion, Ålesund, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Aalesund and Sandefjord?
Sandefjord 1-0 Aalesund on 03 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Aalesund and Sandefjord?
Aalesund have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Sandefjord 1 from theirs (LLLD). Most recently Aalesund took a 2-0 win away at Kristiansund BK and Sandefjord a 1-3 defeat away at ODD Ballklubb.
How many goals are expected in Aalesund vs Sandefjord?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.40 for Aalesund and 0.60 for Sandefjord. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 14 players unavailable for Aalesund and 16 for Sandefjord at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.