Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Rosenborg the pick at 49% for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Fredrikstad host Rosenborg on 31 October 2026 at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Rosenborg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 25 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Fredrikstad - Rosenborg. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Fredrikstad: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 35 conceded in 19 matches, 1.05 and 1.84 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.0 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Rosenborg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches, 1.9 and 1.2 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Fredrikstad | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLD | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 11 | 10 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 19 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.05 / 1.84 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.11 | 1.65 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.0 | 72.1 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 10 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 49% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Fredrikstad 32.0 versus Rosenborg 72.1, a gap of 40.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Rosenborg carry the heavier absentee list, ten players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Rosenborg's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Rosenborg at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Rosenborg's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fredrikstad or Rosenborg?
Rosenborg, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 29% Fredrikstad, 21% the draw and 49% Rosenborg.
When and where is Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg being played?
31 October 2026 at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fredrikstad and Rosenborg?
Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad on 27 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Fredrikstad and Rosenborg?
Fredrikstad have taken 4 points from their last four (WLLD), Rosenborg 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Fredrikstad took a 5-2 win away at Ranheim and Rosenborg a 1-2 defeat at home to Ham-Kam.
How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 1.00 for Fredrikstad and 3.40 for Rosenborg. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for Fredrikstad and ten for Rosenborg at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.