Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the pick at 61% for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Kristiansund BK on 1 November 2026 at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Sarpsborg 08 FF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 25 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Sarpsborg 08 FF - Kristiansund BK. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sarpsborg 08 FF: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 28 conceded in 20 matches, 1.2 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.1 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -5.
Kristiansund BK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 34 conceded in 18 matches, 1.06 and 1.89 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.3 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -24.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Kristiansund BK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -24 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWW | LDLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 8 | 4 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.06 / 1.89 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.1 | 22.3 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 61% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sarpsborg 08 FF 47.1 versus Kristiansund BK 22.3, a gap of 24.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Sarpsborg 08 FF's way at 66%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Sarpsborg 08 FF at 61%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. Sarpsborg 08 FF's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sarpsborg 08 FF's way, especially at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sarpsborg 08 FF or Kristiansund BK?
Sarpsborg 08 FF, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 61% Sarpsborg 08 FF, 18% the draw and 21% Kristiansund BK.
When and where is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK being played?
1 November 2026 at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Kristiansund BK?
Kristiansund BK 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF on 18 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Sarpsborg 08 FF and Kristiansund BK?
Sarpsborg 08 FF have taken 12 points from their last five (WWLWW), Kristiansund BK 1 from theirs (LDLLL). Most recently Sarpsborg 08 FF took a 3-2 win at home to Valerenga and Kristiansund BK a 0-2 defeat at home to Aalesund.
How many goals are expected in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.60 for Kristiansund BK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for Sarpsborg 08 FF and eight for Kristiansund BK at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.