Fredrikstad vs Brann — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Brann the pick at 42% for Fredrikstad vs Brann. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Fredrikstad face Brann on 8 November 2026 at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad. Brann are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 26 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Fredrikstad - Brann. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Fredrikstad: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 38 conceded in 20 matches, 1.0 and 1.9 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -15.
Brann: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 43 conceded in 24 matches, 2.0 and 1.79 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fredrikstad | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -15 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLD | WWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 14 | 12 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.9 | 2.0 / 1.79 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.05 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.9 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 42% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Fredrikstad 27.9 versus Brann 45.8, a gap of 17.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Fredrikstad's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards Brann at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Brann's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fredrikstad or Brann?
Brann, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 36% Fredrikstad, 22% the draw and 42% Brann.
When and where is Fredrikstad vs Brann being played?
8 November 2026 at Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fredrikstad and Brann?
Brann 3-1 Fredrikstad on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Fredrikstad and Brann?
Fredrikstad have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLLD), Brann 9 from theirs (WWLWL). Most recently Fredrikstad took a 0-3 defeat at home to Rosenborg and Brann a 3-2 win at home to Molde.
How many goals are expected in Fredrikstad vs Brann?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 0.80 for Fredrikstad and 2.00 for Brann. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.