Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Kristiansund BK and Valerenga on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Kristiansund BK face Valerenga on 7 November 2026 at Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund. Valerenga are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 26 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Kristiansund BK - Valerenga. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kristiansund BK: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 36 conceded in 19 matches, 1.21 and 1.89 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -22.
Valerenga: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 33 conceded in 20 matches, 1.65 and 1.65 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kristiansund BK | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -22 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDLL | WLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 13 | 11 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 19 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.21 / 1.89 | 1.65 / 1.65 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.16 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.8 | 57.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kristiansund BK 32.8 versus Valerenga 57.6, a gap of 24.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Kristiansund BK's way at 49%.
The call
The model does not commit. Valerenga is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. Valerenga's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kristiansund BK or Valerenga?
Valerenga, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 37% Kristiansund BK, 23% the draw and 40% Valerenga.
When and where is Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga being played?
7 November 2026 at Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Kristiansund BK and Valerenga?
Valerenga 3-1 Kristiansund BK on 29 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Kristiansund BK and Valerenga?
Kristiansund BK have taken 4 points from their last five (WLDLL), Valerenga 9 from theirs (WLWWL). Most recently Kristiansund BK took a 4-2 win away at Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga a 4-0 win at home to Tromso.
How many goals are expected in Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.20 for Kristiansund BK and 2.00 for Valerenga. It rates over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.