Rosenborg vs Start match summary and prediction — Eliteserien
Our model makes Rosenborg the pick at 79% for Rosenborg vs Start. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Rosenborg host Start on 7 November 2026 at Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim. Rosenborg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 79%. This matchday 26 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Rosenborg - Start. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rosenborg: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 24 conceded in 21 matches, 1.95 and 1.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +18.
Start: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 46 conceded in 21 matches, 0.86 and 2.19 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -29.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Rosenborg | Start |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +18 | -29 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWD | LWLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 3 | 9 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.95 / 1.14 | 0.86 / 2.19 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.71 | 0.62 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 72.8 | 27.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 79% | 7% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Rosenborg 72.8 versus Start 27.8, a gap of 45.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Rosenborg's way at 76%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Rosenborg at 79%, a gap of 64 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rosenborg's way, especially at Lerkendal Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rosenborg or Start?
Rosenborg, with an implied win probability of roughly 79%. The full split is 79% Rosenborg, 14% the draw and 7% Start.
When and where is Rosenborg vs Start being played?
7 November 2026 at Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Rosenborg and Start?
Start 0-3 Rosenborg on 18 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Rosenborg and Start?
Rosenborg have taken 10 points from their last five (WLWWD), Start 6 from theirs (LWLLW). Most recently Rosenborg took a 3-0 win away at Fredrikstad and Start a 0-1 defeat at home to Lillestrom.
How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Start?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 3.60 for Rosenborg and 0.80 for Start. It rates over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.