Sandefjord vs Molde match summary and prediction — Eliteserien
Our model makes Molde the pick at 58% for Sandefjord vs Molde. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Molde travel to Sandefjord on 8 November 2026 at Jotun Arena, Sandefjord. Molde are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 26 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Sandefjord - Molde. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sandefjord: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 32 conceded in 21 matches, 0.95 and 1.52 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.3 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -8.
Molde: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (49 scored and 30 conceded in 21 matches, 2.33 and 1.43 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.3 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +20.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sandefjord | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -8 | +20 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLD | LWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 19 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.95 / 1.52 | 2.33 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.9 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.3 | 53.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 23% | 58% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sandefjord 46.3 versus Molde 53.3, a gap of 7.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.40, over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 68%.
- First goal: Leans Molde's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Molde at 58%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. Molde's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sandefjord or Molde?
Molde, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 23% Sandefjord, 19% the draw and 58% Molde.
When and where is Sandefjord vs Molde being played?
8 November 2026 at Jotun Arena, Sandefjord, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sandefjord and Molde?
Molde 2-1 Sandefjord on 30 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sandefjord and Molde?
Sandefjord have taken 4 points from their last five (WLLLD), Molde 10 from theirs (LWWWD). Most recently Sandefjord took a 4-3 win away at Aalesund and Molde a 2-3 defeat away at Brann.
How many goals are expected in Sandefjord vs Molde?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.40 — 1.40 for Sandefjord and 4.00 for Molde. It rates over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 68%, so its call is yes.