Viking vs KFUM Oslo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Viking the pick at 76% for Viking vs KFUM Oslo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Viking face KFUM Oslo on 8 November 2026 at Lyse Arena, Stavanger. Viking are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 76%. This matchday 26 fixture in Eliteserien is listed as Viking - KFUM Oslo. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Viking: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (54 scored and 24 conceded in 21 matches, 2.57 and 1.14 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 74.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +38.
KFUM Oslo: they come in on three successive draws, following two wins before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 34 conceded in 21 matches, 1.19 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Viking | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 10th |
| Goal difference | +38 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWD | DDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 12 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.57 / 1.14 | 1.19 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.24 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 74.5 | 52.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 76% | 10% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Viking 74.5 versus KFUM Oslo 52.8, a gap of 21.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.40, over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Viking's way at 75%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Viking at 76%, a gap of 63 percentage points to the next outcome. Viking's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Viking's way, especially at Lyse Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Viking or KFUM Oslo?
Viking, with an implied win probability of roughly 76%. The full split is 76% Viking, 14% the draw and 10% KFUM Oslo.
When and where is Viking vs KFUM Oslo being played?
8 November 2026 at Lyse Arena, Stavanger, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Viking and KFUM Oslo?
KFUM Oslo 0-2 Viking on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Viking and KFUM Oslo?
Viking have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLWD), KFUM Oslo 9 from theirs (DDDWW). Most recently Viking took a 2-3 defeat away at Bodo/Glimt and KFUM Oslo a 2-2 draw at home to Ham-Kam.
How many goals are expected in Viking vs KFUM Oslo?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.40 — 3.00 for Viking and 1.40 for KFUM Oslo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.