Häcken W vs Piteå W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Häcken W the pick at 59% for Häcken W vs Piteå W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Piteå W travel to Häcken W on 15 November 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena. Häcken W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 26 fixture in Damallsvenskan is listed as Häcken W - Piteå W. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Häcken W: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 5 conceded in eight matches, 2.0 and 0.62 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 84.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +64.
Piteå W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Häcken W | Piteå W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 10th |
| Goal difference | +64 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWDW | DLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 0.62 | 1.17 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 84.3 | 40.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 19% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Häcken W 84.3 versus Piteå W 40.2, a gap of 44.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Häcken W's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Häcken W at 59%, a gap of 37 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Häcken W's way, especially at Nordic Wellness Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Häcken W or Piteå W?
Häcken W, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Häcken W, 22% the draw and 19% Piteå W.
When and where is Häcken W vs Piteå W being played?
15 November 2026 at Nordic Wellness Arena, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Häcken W and Piteå W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Häcken W and Piteå W?
Häcken W have taken 9 points from their last five (DDWDW), Piteå W 5 from theirs (DLWLD). Most recently Häcken W took a 0-0 draw at home to Chelsea W and Piteå W a 1-1 draw at home to Malmö FF W.
How many goals are expected in Häcken W vs Piteå W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.60 for Häcken W and 1.00 for Piteå W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.