Hammarby W vs Kristianstad W match summary and prediction — Damallsvenskan
Our model makes Hammarby W the pick at 73% for Hammarby W vs Kristianstad W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hammarby W face Kristianstad W on 15 November 2026 at Hammarby IP, Stockholm. Hammarby W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 73%. This matchday 26 fixture in Damallsvenskan is listed as Hammarby W - Kristianstad W. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hammarby W: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 4 conceded in seven matches, 2.86 and 0.57 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +50.
Kristianstad W: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hammarby W | Kristianstad W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 5th |
| Goal difference | +50 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 4 | 11 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.86 / 0.57 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.57 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 77.5 | 56.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 73% | 12% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Hammarby W 77.5 versus Kristianstad W 56.2, a gap of 21.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Hammarby W's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Hammarby W at 73%, a gap of 58 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hammarby W's way, especially at Hammarby IP.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hammarby W or Kristianstad W?
Hammarby W, with an implied win probability of roughly 73%. The full split is 73% Hammarby W, 15% the draw and 12% Kristianstad W.
When and where is Hammarby W vs Kristianstad W being played?
15 November 2026 at Hammarby IP, Stockholm, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Hammarby W and Kristianstad W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hammarby W and Kristianstad W?
Hammarby W have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Kristianstad W 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Hammarby W took a 2-0 win away at Rosengård W and Kristianstad W a 2-1 win at home to Eskilstuna United W.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby W vs Kristianstad W?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 3.00 for Hammarby W and 1.20 for Kristianstad W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.